Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.217547 1.482376 1.818852 2.289476 2.951114 3.882721 5.364375
2025-02-16 0.832259 1.107548 1.508369 2.172121 3.333207 5.506317 10.684399
2025-02-23 0.668325 0.944536 1.387139 2.220810 3.975785 8.318282 25.439401
2025-03-02 0.575037 0.850971 1.327825 2.328631 4.827131 13.157083 82.111825
2025-03-09 0.498719 0.762362 1.243490 2.339658 5.487951 19.439465 379.140474
2025-03-16 0.432122 0.675031 1.135045 2.245574 5.789182 25.848129 4135.622261
2025-03-23 0.397651 0.637721 1.113560 2.350264 6.902995 44.992880 NaN
2025-03-30 0.363313 0.594104 1.067505 2.370610 7.774165 75.040565 NaN
2025-04-06 0.329763 0.546599 1.002233 2.309575 8.245635 114.938072 NaN
2025-04-13 0.302709 0.508030 0.949212 2.265730 8.805400 192.126858 NaN
2025-04-20 0.292247 0.501161 0.968008 2.463431 11.300199 905.543579 NaN
2025-04-27 0.278719 0.485915 0.963223 2.581608 13.708008 15029.727070 NaN
2025-05-04 0.260392 0.458721 0.924549 2.563818 15.089981 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.241017 0.427253 0.869830 2.463195 15.492130 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.229785 0.412358 0.856361 2.529670 18.322294 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.221634 0.403303 0.856967 2.661331 23.121402 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.210759 0.386854 0.833981 2.675061 26.395967 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.197558 0.363821 0.788685 2.561741 26.620454 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.191693 0.357234 0.790108 2.687979 34.229002 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.183844 0.345204 0.773423 2.712566 39.963639 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.174517 0.328870 0.741391 2.638875 41.887873 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.166399 0.314820 0.714611 2.586031 44.782329 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.164564 0.315774 0.734649 2.824923 69.709432 NaN NaN